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      <title>Catholic Democrats of Pennsylvania</title>
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      <copyright>Copyright 2008</copyright>
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         <title>Pro-life Senator Casey champions Obama as better candidate on abortion</title>
         <description><![CDATA[Senator Bob Casey is likely to be a speaker at the Democratic National Convention late this month in Denver, and much of the conversation swirling about his high profile concerns abortion.  But in contrast to the conventional wisdom, he thinks nominee Barack Obama has more to offer than does Senator McCain for people who really care about the abortion issue.

"I don't necessarily think there has to be a 'Catholic strategy,' because I'm not sure the Catholic vote is any more monolithic or predictable than any other vote," Casey said in an interview. "The most committed pro-life voter and the most committed pro-choice voter can come together over the issue of how do we help pregnant women," Casey said. "When a pro-life voter considers that question, which has a moral gravity to it which we don't talk about enough, on balance Barack has a better record."

For <a href="http://www.philly.com/philly/news/nation_world/20080808_Casey_might_get_speaking_role_at_convention.html">full story in the Philadelphia Inquirer</a>
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         <link>http://www.catholicdemocrats.org/PA/2008/08/prolife_senator_casey_champion.php</link>
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         <pubDate>Fri, 08 Aug 2008 12:40:39 -0500</pubDate>
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         <title>&quot;Catholics in Alliance&quot; meets in Pittsburgh to spread message from Philadelphia Convention</title>
         <description><![CDATA[Catholics in Alliance for the Common Good, fresh off its success in organizing a meeting for 800 Catholics in Philadelphia July 11-13, has begun a series of events across the country to begin a national conversation on the full range of Catholic issues.  The 'Platform for the Common Good,' written in Philadelphia by small groups of all the participants, states, "Too many today have lost a sense of a consistent ethic of life, which is harmed in many ways, including by poverty, abortion and capital punishment. Internationally, our economic system has disproportionately benefitted large corporations and their shareholders while millions of U.S. workers and laborers, family farmers in the global south and others often struggle in poverty."

See full article in <a href="http://www.post-gazette.com/pg/08206/899145-103.stm">the Pittsburgh Post-Gazette</a>]]></description>
         <link>http://www.catholicdemocrats.org/PA/2008/07/catholics_in_alliance_meets_in.php</link>
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         <pubDate>Thu, 24 Jul 2008 14:11:43 -0500</pubDate>
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         <title>Pennsylvania Fault Lines</title>
         <description><![CDATA[Perhaps it was inevitable: The Democrats' battle for the presidential nomination has led us into the thicket of race and religion.

Hillary Clinton's significant victory over Barack Obama in the Pennsylvania primary was the result of many factors, but most troubling for Obama's camp were exit polls suggesting that an underlying anti-Obama vote was responsible for the size of Clinton's win. One little-noticed finding was that 6 percent of Clinton's own voters said that they would defect to John McCain in the fall against Clinton herself. These Pennsylvania Democrats clearly were not Clinton enthusiasts. They were voting against Obama.

What was behind the anti-Obama feeling? More specifically, did Obama's race play a role? The evidence suggests that race mattered; it's just not clear how much.

Among white Pennsylvania voters, roughly one in six said race was a factor, and three-quarters of those voted for Clinton. By contrast, Clinton's gender seemed to help her more than hurt her: A substantial majority of men who said a candidate's gender was a factor (a very small group) voted for Clinton.

The import of race was widely debated in e-mail discussion groups and on Web sites from the moment exit polls became available. There is certainly a danger of exaggerating the impact of race in Pennsylvania, since Clinton also beat Obama by about 3 to 2 among whites who said race played no role in their decision.

Nonetheless, elections are usually decided at the margins, and these findings will (and should) prompt a more open and candid discussion of race's role this year.

Republicans clearly know that they can find ways to play on racial feelings while fully denying they are doing so. On Wednesday, the North Carolina Republican Party released a television ad showing Obama's former pastor, the Rev. Jeremiah Wright, giving his now-famous sermon in which he declared, "God damn America."

Of course Wright's comments were offensive, but to pretend that the ad does not have racial undertones would be to deny the obvious. After all, why didn't North Carolina Republicans focus instead on attacking Obama's alleged "elitism" or his foreign policy views?

And a pattern was set that may define the rest of the campaign: Will John McCain be able to profit from incendiary ads run by his partisan allies even as he insists he would never run such ads himself?

The religion factor, especially the Catholic factor, is equally complicated. But it is no less important. Among white Catholics in Pennsylvania, Clinton received 72 percent of the vote, nine points better than her share among whites as a whole and 13 points better than her performance among white Protestants.

Some of the differences can be explained by the fact that self-identified Pennsylvania Catholics were older than other voters -- and older white voters have been at the core of Clinton's base. Among voters under 45, by contrast, the differences between white Catholics and white Protestants were negligible.

Nonetheless, older white Catholics were decidedly more resistant to Obama than other older whites. Even as Pennsylvania's votes were being counted, a top Clinton campaign official was touting the extensive work Clinton had done to woo Catholics.

He spoke of campaigning by nuns around the state, of a special "Catholic conversation" hosted by some of Clinton's prominent Catholic supporters just before CNN's "Compassion Forum," and even of the fact that Chelsea Clinton had attended Mass at St. Christopher's parish in northeast Philadelphia with Catholic supporters.

The Obama campaign was slower in organizing Catholics, but this month it announced the formation of a Catholic "advisory council" whose ranks include Sharon Daly, a former top official at Catholic Charities USA, and Mary Jo Bane, who served in the Department of Health and Human Services in Bill Clinton's administration. Since Catholics have a history of backing the victorious presidential candidate, the struggle over Catholic voters will be closely tied to arguments with superdelegates over whether Clinton or Obama is more electable.

Ultimately, Obama may face a contradiction, or at least a paradox.

He has succeeded in beating back racial stereotypes by presenting himself as a cerebral and unifying figure who disdains confrontation and heated rhetoric. But many Catholic voters, particularly those in blue-collar ranks, are skeptical of his transformative oratory and cool personality. "They want to see some fight, some grit and some specifics," said one Democrat who is neutral but wishes Obama well.

There is only so much Obama can do to deal with outright racial prejudice. But in grappling with his difficulties among Catholic voters, Obama may find a way to ease the burdens of race.

<a href="http://www.washingtonpost.com/wp-dyn/content/article/2008/04/24/AR2008042402978_pf.html">Pennsylvania Fault Lines</a>
By E. J. Dionne Jr.
Washington Post
Friday, April 25, 2008; A23]]></description>
         <link>http://www.catholicdemocrats.org/PA/2008/04/pennsylvania_fault_lines.php</link>
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         <pubDate>Fri, 25 Apr 2008 13:54:09 -0500</pubDate>
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         <title>Watch for political fallout in PA Primary from Pope&apos;s visit</title>
         <description><![CDATA[NEW YORK (CNN) -- The official motto of Pope Benedict XVI's April 15-20 visit to the United States, the first of his papacy, is "Christ our Hope." Based on the frequency with which papal spokespersons have struck a different note, however, its unofficial motto might well be, "This is not a political event."

Here's a typical example from early April: "The pope is not coming to get mixed up in the local political process," said Italian Archbishop Pietro Sambi, the pope's ambassador to America, in an interview with the National Catholic Reporter. "His presence is about something more universal and, at the same time, more personal."

Fear that Benedict's visit might be read through the lens of party politics reflects a key fact of electoral life in America: The "Catholic vote" matters. To take the most obvious example, if a few heavily Catholic counties in Ohio had gone the other way in 2004, pundits would today be handicapping the re-election of President John Kerry.

America's almost 70 million Catholics, representing a quarter of the country's population, are diverse and divided. They don't all agree with official church positions, and although Catholics were once reliable Democrats, today they're not clearly aligned with either party. That's a key reason why states with large Catholic populations, such as Ohio, Pennsylvania, Wisconsin and Florida, are considered crucial battlegrounds.

Already in the 2008 race, Catholics have made themselves felt. On the Democratic side, they're the biggest single reason Sen. Hillary Clinton is still afloat.

So far, the more Catholic a state, the better Clinton has done. With her back to the wall not long ago in Ohio and Texas, Clinton decisively outpolled Sen. Barack Obama among Catholic Democrats. In Ohio, Clinton won the Catholic vote by a margin of 63 percent to 36, while in Texas it was 62 percent to 38.

Clinton is now hoping that Catholics will come through for her again in Pennsylvania's April 22 primary. The state's 3.87 million Catholics represent more than 30 percent of the population, and Clinton is clinging to a lead despite Pennsylvania Sen. Robert Casey's endorsement of Obama. Casey is a hero to pro-life Catholic Democrats, and his backing is apparently helping Obama narrow the gap.

Clinton does better than Obama among Latinos, who are disproportionately Catholic. She's also winning Catholic "Reagan Democrats," meaning socially conservative blue-collar voters. Obama's recent gaffe, telling a crowd in San Francisco, California, that small-town Americans were "clinging to guns or religion" out of economic frustration, may help cement that advantage.

Once the Democrats settle on a candidate, the Catholic vote seems wide open in November.

Sen. John McCain, the presumptive Republican nominee, appeals to many Catholics because he's pro-life and has a moderate stance on immigration. Yet his willingness to remain in Iraq for "100 years" is at odds with the church's opposition to the war.

Either Clinton or Obama could make a strong appeal to Catholics on peace-and-justice issues, yet both are out of sync with Catholic teaching on issues such as abortion, stem-cell research and gay rights.

Both sides are expected to court Catholics aggressively. The McCain campaign recently formed a "National Catholics for McCain Committee" led by former Kansas Sen. Sam Brownback and former Oklahoma Gov. Frank Keating, along with a "who's who" of prominent Catholic conservatives.

Obama has his own "National Catholic Advisory Council," led by Casey and former Indiana Rep. Tim Roemer, both pro-life Democrats. Clinton likewise has top-drawer Catholic advisers.

Pope Benedict's trip is unlikely to offer a decisive boost to either side. He'll probably strike pro-life notes that Republicans can exploit, but he'll also likely accent peace, concern for the poor and the environment, issues that generally skew to the Democrats. Watch as CNN's Rosemary Church speaks with Vatican analyst John Allen about the pope's visit »

Any political fallout may thus depend on what happens to the pope's message once it's swept up into the sausage grinder of American spin. Benedict XVI usually speaks not in sound bites but in carefully crafted paragraphs, which sometimes leaves the door ajar for competing explanations of what he really means.

One can expect a "war for the microphone" among Republican and Democratic operatives, each looking to exploit pieces of the pope's message. In a tight race, movement of even a few percentage points among Catholics could be decisive.

One sign the Democrats understand what's at stake is that House Speaker Nancy Pelosi has arranged an April 16 conference call with reporters to comment on Benedict's trip -- in effect, not wanting President Bush, and by extension the Republicans, to claim a monopoly on the pope.

All this makes the political implications of the pope's presence difficult to anticipate. The best advice boils down to that classic broadcast cliché: "Stay tuned!"

John L. Allen Jr. is CNN's senior Vatican analyst and a senior correspondent for the National Catholic Reporter.

<strong><a href="http://www.cnn.com/2008/US/04/14/allen.pope/?iref=mpstoryview">Behind the Scenes: Watch for political fallout from pope's visit</a></strong>Story Highlights
Papal representatives stress Benedict's U.S. trip is "not a political event"

But Catholic vote still matters in U.S. politics, as 2004's close Ohio vote showed

Obama's "guns and religion" gaffe may help Clinton with blue-collar Catholics

Once Democrats settle on a candidate, Catholic vote seems wide open in November

By John L. Allen Jr.
CNN Senior Vatican Analyst
Editor's Note: In our Behind the Scenes series, CNN correspondents share their experiences in covering news and analyze the stories behind the events. CNN's Senior Vatican Analyst John L. Allen Jr. is following the pope during his U.S. trip.
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         <link>http://www.catholicdemocrats.org/PA/2008/04/watch_for_political_fallout_in.php</link>
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         <pubDate>Sat, 19 Apr 2008 10:20:44 -0500</pubDate>
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         <title>Senator Casey endorsement changes Catholic calculus in PA</title>
         <description><![CDATA[Senator Bob Casey told the crowd at Soldiers & Sailors Military Museum in Oakland PA that he came to his decision because, "This campaign is a chance for America to chart a new course, to go down a different path, a path, first of all, of change; a path of a new kind of politics and finally a path of hope and healing ... I believe in my heart that there's one person who uniquely qualified to lead us in that new direction and that's Barack Obama."

See <strong><a href="http://www.post-gazette.com/pg/08089/869022-457.stm">link to full story</a></strong> in the Pittsburgh Post-Gazette
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         <link>http://www.catholicdemocrats.org/PA/2008/04/senator_casey_endorsement_chan.php</link>
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         <pubDate>Thu, 03 Apr 2008 10:52:36 -0500</pubDate>
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         <title>Senator Clinton endorsed by mayor of heavily Catholic Pittsburgh</title>
         <description>Sen. Hillary Clinton picked up the endorsement of Pittsburgh mayor Luke Ravenstahl today (Friday, March 14). The 27-year-old mayor announced his support for the New York senator during a &quot;Solutions for America&quot; rally at the Soldiers &amp; Sailors Military Museum &amp; Memorial here. Clinton has already been endorsed by Gov. Ed Rendell and Philadelphia Mayor Michael Nutter and currently leads by double digits in recent polls of likely voters in the Keystone State. 

The Clinton campaign is depending on a victory in Pennsylvania to help it stay in the race after suffering a string of losses in February. Clinton picked up much-needed victories in Texas and Ohio on March 4 but still lags behind Sen. Barack Obama in the race for delegates.

Earlier today Clinton stopped at the Curran Golf Gas Station to lay out her plan for bringing down gas prices and coming up with alternative energy. She spoke to reporters, gas station owner Jay Curran and local families affected by record $3.32 a gallon gas prices. 

Clinton proposed a $50 billion strategic energy fund, putting 2,000 hybrid school buses on the road and giving Detroit auto makers aide to come up with more fuel-efficient vehicles. She called on the Federal Trade Commission to investigate market manipulation of wholesale oil markets. 

In between talking policy, Clinton also took the opportunity to knock the Bush Administration and her opponents’ records.

“I gotta tell you, I will not be a president who holds hands with the Saudis, I will hold the Saudis accountable,” Clinton said. 

“I think it’s time we kicked the oil men out of the White House. Unfortunately, despite a lot of talk about clean energy, Sen. Obama voted for Dick Cheney’s budget-busting tax breaks for big oil. And Sen. McCain opposes eliminating them.” 

The Obama campaign quickly fired back. “Sen. Clinton’s taken thousands of dollars from oil lobbyists in this campaign, so she should know that we’re not going to kick the oil men out of the White House by taking their money to get in,” said Obama spokesman Bill Burton.

Amy Chozick reports on the presidential race from Pittsburgh for the Wall Street Journal
March 14, 2008, 6:25 pm
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         <link>http://www.catholicdemocrats.org/PA/2008/03/pittsburgh_mayor_endorses_sena.php</link>
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         <pubDate>Sat, 15 Mar 2008 17:04:11 -0500</pubDate>
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         <title>Catholic Voters Viewed as Key in Pennsylvania</title>
         <description><![CDATA[One key to Senator Obama's chances of defeating Senator
Clinton in the crucial Pennsylvania primary next month will be his
courtship of Catholic voters, a sizable bloc that has loyally supported
the former first lady throughout the primary season.

Catholics could make up more than one-third of the vote in the
Keystone State on April 22, and Mrs. Clinton's victories in Ohio,
Texas, and Rhode Island on Tuesday made clear that despite a stepped-up
effort in recent weeks, Mr. Obama has failed to narrow her edge with
that demographic.

Mr. Obama's campaign has fought aggressively against the perception
that he has a "Catholic problem," but it does not deny the numbers: In
state after state that Mrs. Clinton has won, exit polls show that she
has captured as much as 65% of the Catholic vote — a percentage that
far outstrips her margin of victory. And in several states that Mr.
Obama has claimed, including his home state of Illinois, which he won
by 22 points, the Catholic vote has gone to Mrs. Clinton.

The Catholic numbers have prompted an intensifying debate about the
reason the gap persists, and whether it is due to a specific advantage
for Mrs. Clinton or doubts about Mr. Obama, or whether it is merely
attributable to overlapping voting constituencies that favor the New
York senator.

"The consistent polling has been that the bedrock of her strength is
Catholic Democrats," a Clinton supporter who heads the National Ethnic
Democratic Leadership Council, Brian O'Dwyer, said.

Mrs. Clinton's advantage escapes obvious explanation. She is not
Catholic, and while her supporters often point to her involvement in
the Northern Ireland peace process as fostering a close connection with
Catholics, Mr. Obama has the fervent backing of one of America's most
prominent elected Catholics, Senator Kennedy of Massachusetts, whose
brother was the first Catholic president.

Advisers to Mr. Obama have contended that Mrs. Clinton's edge among
Catholics is fueled largely by her well-known support among Hispanic
voters, who comprise a large proportion of the Catholic population in
large states like California and Texas. The Obama campaign pushed back
hard against a Politico article earlier this month that reported on his
soft support among Catholics, fearful that the story would become a
dominant campaign narrative.

But the March 4 results seem to have put to rest the notion that
Mrs. Clinton's Hispanic base is wholly responsible for her advantage
among Catholics. In Ohio, which has a tiny Hispanic population, she won
63% of the vote among Catholics, who comprised one-fifth of all voters
in the primary, according to an NBC News exit poll. And in Rhode
Island, where white Catholics made up 46% of the primary electorate,
Mrs. Clinton took 69% of the demographic. Mr. Obama did win the
Catholic vote in Vermont, but his advantage was much thinner than his
margin of victory overall.  The percentages bode well for Mrs. Clinton in Pennsylvania, whose large Catholic population is predominantly white.

Looking ahead to next month, Mr. Obama's campaign is actively
reaching out to Catholic voters. The senator in February sent a letter
to thousands of nuns across the country, and the campaign was pleased
with several "community faith forums" it held in Ohio, including two
directed at Catholic voters specifically that featured a former Indiana
congressman, Timothy Roemer, as well as Victoria Kennedy, the wife of
Senator Kennedy. The campaign plans several more of those events in
Pennsylvania, Mr. Obama's director of religious affairs, Joshua DuBois,
said in an interview.

In addition to Mrs. Clinton's support with Hispanic voters, the
Obama campaign attributes her success among Catholics to her longer
tenure on the national stage.

Mr. DuBois downplayed worries that Mr. Obama was not connecting with
Catholic voters, and although the campaign is 14 months old, he said
the candidate's introduction to Catholics was only beginning. The
campaign, he said, would be "aggressively and robustly reaching out to
Catholics" in the weeks ahead.

"There's no concern there, because this introduction is just getting
started," Mr. DuBois said, "and as more and more Catholics get to know
who Senator Obama is and what he stands for, we are 100% confident that
he will be the candidate for Catholic voters, not just in the primary
but on into the general election."

Mr. DuBois also pointed to states that Mr. Obama has won with sizable Catholic
populations, such as Louisiana and Missouri.

Indeed, there is little evidence to suggest that Catholics have
supported Mrs. Clinton, who is Methodist, over a specific issue or
because they distrust or dislike Mr. Obama. "We've not picked up
anybody who says, 'I'm a Catholic, and I'm voting for Hillary,'" a
political scientist who directs the Franklin and Marshall Poll in
Pennsylvania, G. Terry Madonna, said.

There is also no evidence that false speculation about Mr. Obama
being a Muslim -- he is a Christian -- have had an outsize impact on
Catholics, nor is there data indicating that race has been a factor in
the Catholic vote.

Mr. Madonna said Mrs. Clinton's advantage could likely be attributed
to a number of factors, in particular the fact that many of the
working-class white voters who form the base of her support are
Catholic. These Democrats, who tend to vote based on more "bread and
butter table talk" issues like health care and the economy, have
responded more to Mrs. Clinton's message than Mr. Obama's "new kind of
politics" brand.

As the Democratic race turns increasingly to the question of
electability, the Catholic gap could loom large. Catholics have
traditionally been a swing vote, Mr. Madonna said, and many fall into
the category of Reagan Democrats, which could be crucial to the chances
for victory for either Mr. Obama or Mrs. Clinton over the presumptive
Republican nominee, Senator McCain.

"This spells disaster for the Democrats if Obama were the nominee,"
Mr. O'Dwyer said, suggesting the senator's thin ties to the Catholic
community would put him at a considerable disadvantage versus Mr.
McCain, who he said had a strong appeal among Catholics.

A Democratic consultant who supports Mr. Obama, Michael Tobman,
disputed the idea that Catholics would shift en masse to Mr. McCain if
Mr. Obama were nominated, but he did acknowledge that the Arizona
senator, who identifies himself as a Baptist, could have an advantage,
particularly with Irish Catholics.

"For nothing more than his last name, McCain starts with a leg up in the Catholic
community," Mr. Tobman said.

<strong><a href="http://www.nysun.com/article/72573">Catholic Voters Viewed as Key in Pennsylvania</a></strong>
By Howard Berman
March 10, 2008
Copyright 2008, New York Sun]]></description>
         <link>http://www.catholicdemocrats.org/PA/2008/03/catholic_voters_viewed_as_key.php</link>
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         <pubDate>Mon, 10 Mar 2008 15:50:55 -0500</pubDate>
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         <title>Prominent PA Democrats weigh in on presidential primary</title>
         <description><![CDATA[From the POLITICO
<a href="http://www.politico.com/news/stories/0308/8781_Page2.html">Blog by David Mark </a>March 1, 2008

A final big-state showdown is scheduled for April 22 in Pennsylvania--a state that is just under one-third Catholic. 

"The Catholic vote is absolutely critical in some of the major markets like Pittsburgh and Philadelphia. In Pittsburgh it can be as much as 50 percent of the [primary] vote," said Jon Delano, adjunct professor of Public Policy and Politics at Carnegie Mellon University in Pittsburgh. "The question is how much does the religious part play in how they cast their ballot."

Rep. Mike Doyle (D-Pa.), who represents one of the most heavily Catholic metropolitan areas in the nation, said the Catholic vote in his Pittsburgh-based district is still very much up for grabs but Clinton has to be considered the front-runner. 

"She's the person to beat in Pennsylvania. President Clinton is very popular in our neck of the woods," Doyle said. "This is Hillary's race to lose." 

Rep. Jason Altmire (D-Pa.), another Pittsburgh-area congressman, said Catholic voters in his district "are a very sizable voting bloc. But it’s still fluid – and they haven’t really started to campaign here."

Doyle, Altmire and Rep. John Murtha, the other Democrat who represents western Pennsylvania--all Catholics--have not endorsed a candidate for the nomination. 

Despite Obama's struggles to gain traction among Catholics, Douglas Kmiec, a Pepperdine University law professor and the former dean of the Catholic University School of Law, insists that in a general election matchup with John McCain, Obama would prove popular with Catholic voters. 

"Senator Obama has captured better than any of the other candidates a concern that religion has been used as a wedge issue – that there has been a deliberate effort on the part of conservatives to basically try and gain political advantage by pointing out how much Democrats disrespect religion," said Kmiec, who served as a legal adviser to Republican Mitt Romney. "On the other side, Democrats have been too quick to disregard the significance of faith in people’s lives – that they have been too quick to embrace wholesale secularism."]]></description>
         <link>http://www.catholicdemocrats.org/PA/2008/03/prominent_pa_democrats_weigh_i.php</link>
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         <pubDate>Fri, 07 Mar 2008 00:01:56 -0500</pubDate>
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         <title>For Obama, an uphill battle in Pennsylvania</title>
         <description><![CDATA[In Ohio, where Catholics account for 20% of voters, Senator Clinton won white Catholic voters by 31 points. In Pennsylvania, white Catholics could be closer to a third of the vote. If she were to match her Ohio performance in Pennsylvania, white Catholics alone would give her 20% of the overall vote.

<a href="http://blog.washingtonpost.com/the-trail/2008/03/06/for_obama_an_uphill_battle_in_p.html?hpid=topnews"><strong>For Obama, an uphill battle in Pennsylvania</strong></a>
By Dan Balz
6 March 2008

Pennsylvania's April 22 primary stands as the next big battleground in the Democratic presidential race and Barack Obama has no good options. He can stand and fight, and probably lose, or try to downplay the contest, and lose by an even bigger margin. In terms of demographics, Pennsylvania is Ohio squared. 

Everything that worked for Hillary Clinton in Ohio is there in Pennsylvania in greater numbers. The Post ran a chart in Thursday's editions comparing the Democratic electorates in the two states. Obama's campaign should tape it on every office wall in their North Michigan Avenue headquarters in Chicago as a reminder of the steep hill they have to climb.

Look at some of the comparisons: The black-white mix is roughly similar, meaning Obama will not have a significantly larger African American population to tap. The male-female mix is also roughly similar, with women accounting for nearly 60 percent of the electorate, meaning Clinton will have her solid base upon which to build.

But look, too, at some differences. There are fewer young people and more old people in Pennsylvania than in Ohio, which is good for Clinton and bad for Obama. In Ohio, 44 percent of the Democratic electorate was under age 45 and Obama carried them by 54 percent to 45 percent. In Pennsylvania those voters may represent only a quarter of the electorate. In Ohio, voters over age 65 comprised 14 percent of the electorate and Clinton carried them 72 percent to 26 percent. In Pennsylvania, they may account for a quarter of the Democratic vote.

There are fewer college graduates and more non-college graduates in Pennsylvania than in Ohio, both among the population at large and among white voters. That, too, spells trouble for Obama. 

The differences are not hugely significant, but even a slightly less educated electorate plays to Clinton's favor. Again, look at what happened in Ohio. Among white, non-college educated voters, who accounted for almost half the electorate, Clinton beat Obama by 44 percentage points -- 71 percent to 27 percent. Among white, college graduates, who were just 29 percent of the electorate, she won, but by just 7 points.

Clinton has generally done well with Roman Catholics. In Ohio, she won white Catholic voters by 31 points. There they accounted for a fifth of the electorate. In Pennsylvania, white Catholics could be closer to a third of the vote. If she were to match her Ohio performance in Pennsylvania, white Catholics alone would give her 20 percent of the overall vote.

So the deck is stacked in Pennsylvania. A Clinton victory there will intensify a debate among Democrats about whether Obama has a "big state" problem. In states with more than 100 pledged delegates, Clinton has won California, New York, Texas, Ohio and New Jersey. Obama has won Illinois and will be favored in the May primary in North Carolina.

Clinton also claims victories in the disputed states of Michigan and Florida. That's an unfair claim because both states were sanctioned by the Democratic Party and stripped of their convention seats. Both may be headed for do-over contests later this spring.

With Obama continuing to hold a lead in pledged delegates, Clinton will point to her success in big-state primaries as she tries to woo superdelegates to support her candidacy. It is a justifiable argument. When matched head to head in states with big and diverse electorates, Clinton has consistently defeated Obama. 

Her advisers argue that shows she will be a stronger general election candidate in some of the major battlegrounds in the fall. Pennsylvania may well add to that record.

What are Obama's counter claims? One is that many of those big states will vote Democratic no matter which candidate is the nominee. California, New York, Illinois and probably New Jersey fit that category. Clinton will point to Ohio and Pennsylvania as evidence of her ability to win critical battlegrounds, but Obama will counter that his victories key Midwest states that have been competitive in recent elections -- Missouri, Iowa, Wisconsin and Minnesota -- show that he's best positioned to compete in key swing states.

Another Obama counter is that he will have a far easier time winning over her voters than she will have winning over his voters. The logic here is that her base of traditional Democrats are hungry to recapture the White House not likely to back John McCain in the fall, but Obama's constituency will be less transferable. Independent voters may be more reluctant to back Clinton, his younger voters may have less enthusiasm for Clinton and his African American voters may feel cheated if he is not the nominee.

Obama also will argue that he has more ability to expand the electoral map. He will point to success in Virginia and North Carolina -- if he wins there -- as partial evidence, and he will highlight his endorsements from prominent red-state politicians -- Arizona Gov. Janet Napolitano and Kansas Gov. Kathleen Sebelius among them -- as proof that they see him as a far better nominee in their parts of the country. Clinton will note that she won Arizona on Super Tuesday as well as Arkansas and Tennessee.

Clinton and Obama remain remarkably evenly matched. Neither has shown an ability to consistently peel away the others' voters. Obama could close down the race by defeating Clinton in Pennsylvania and will have seven weeks to make his case to the voters there. But it will be a hard sell, given the landscape and Clinton's support from Gov. Edward Rendell. Which is why the race is could go on well beyond the Keystone state.

]]></description>
         <link>http://www.catholicdemocrats.org/PA/2008/03/for_obama_an_uphill_battle_in.php</link>
         <guid>http://www.catholicdemocrats.org/PA/2008/03/for_obama_an_uphill_battle_in.php</guid>
        
        
         <pubDate>Thu, 06 Mar 2008 23:14:51 -0500</pubDate>
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         <title>Clinton strong in PA poll, but backers worry</title>
         <description><![CDATA[A <a href="http://www.ajc.com/wireless/content/news/stories/2008/02/15/clinton_penn0215.html">story in the Atlanta Journal Constition </a>describes how nervous backers of Hillary Clinton, including Pennsylvania Gov. Ed Rendell, have wondered aloud in recent days whether Clinton's campaign has been too slow to organize for Pennsylvania's potentially crucial April 22 primary — not to mention contests in Ohio and Texas, which vote March 4.]]></description>
         <link>http://www.catholicdemocrats.org/PA/2008/02/clinton_strong_in_pa_poll_but.php</link>
         <guid>http://www.catholicdemocrats.org/PA/2008/02/clinton_strong_in_pa_poll_but.php</guid>
        
        
         <pubDate>Sat, 16 Feb 2008 14:45:40 -0500</pubDate>
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         <title>Bishops&apos; Pro-Life Office Praises Senator Casey&apos;s Introduction Of &quot;Pregnant Women&apos;s Support Act&quot;</title>
         <description><![CDATA[WASHINGTON (December 14, 2007)--An official from the U.S. Conference of Catholic Bishops (USCCB) praised Senator Robert Casey (D-PA) for introducing the Pregnant Women's Support Act (S. 2407), a bill to provide resources and support to pregnant women.

"By providing practical resources and information, the bill will empower pregnant women to make healthy choices for themselves and their children, born and unborn," said Deirdre McQuade of the USCCB's Secretariat for Pro-Life Activities. <a href="http://www.usccb.org/comm/archives/2007/07-206.shtml"><strong>To read more</strong>.</a>
 ]]></description>
         <link>http://www.catholicdemocrats.org/PA/2008/01/bishops_conference_official_praises_senator_caseys_introduction_of_pregnant_womens_support_act_.php</link>
         <guid>http://www.catholicdemocrats.org/PA/2008/01/bishops_conference_official_praises_senator_caseys_introduction_of_pregnant_womens_support_act_.php</guid>
        
        
         <pubDate>Mon, 21 Jan 2008 21:11:49 -0500</pubDate>
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         <title>Pa. Catholic diocese sets up $1.25 mln abuse fund</title>
         <description><![CDATA[PHILADELPHIA (Reuters) - The Roman Catholic Diocese of Pittsburgh has voluntarily set up a $1.25 million fund to aid the victims of 32 cases of clergy sexual abuse, an attorney for the victims said on Monday. Ron Lengwin, a spokesman for the diocese, said church authorities had determined that many of the allegations of abuse were "credible" but he said they had not investigated every instance. To continue reading, click <a href="http://www.reuters.com/article/email/idUSN1736407120070917">here</a>. ]]></description>
         <link>http://www.catholicdemocrats.org/PA/2007/12/pa_catholic_diocese_sets_up_12.php</link>
         <guid>http://www.catholicdemocrats.org/PA/2007/12/pa_catholic_diocese_sets_up_12.php</guid>
        
        
         <pubDate>Fri, 07 Dec 2007 23:55:24 -0500</pubDate>
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         <title>Church Expands Its Mission to Immigration Advocacy</title>
         <description><![CDATA[Though this article isn’t explicitly Catholic we encourage you to take a look
For five days and nights last summer, the Rev. Edwin Mieses saw the kingdom of God on the playgrounds of this hilltop mining town. The occasion was the array of basketball games, clown shows and worship services that go by the title “Rock the Block.”  To continue reading, click <a href="http://www.nytimes.com/2007/09/08/us/08religion.html?_r=1&emc=eta1&oref=slogin">here</a>.
]]></description>
         <link>http://www.catholicdemocrats.org/PA/2007/12/church_expands_its_mission_to.php</link>
         <guid>http://www.catholicdemocrats.org/PA/2007/12/church_expands_its_mission_to.php</guid>
        
        
         <pubDate>Fri, 07 Dec 2007 23:54:37 -0500</pubDate>
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